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kroner af 2002-tallene, som passede med den britiske mo-
del. De 2,6 mia. fra 2002-rapporten udløste i den engelske
kontrolregning i alt 6.350 årsværk, hvilket svarer til 2,5 års-
værk pr. investeret million kroner på dansk Nordsøsokkel,
som kom danske virksomheder til gode.
9. Ibid.
10. Anvendes den britiske model ud fra beskæftigelsesfak-
toren pr. investeret million US-dollars (og kontrolbereg-
ningen i forhold til empiriske danske tal i 2003) vil tallene
for den direkte, indirekte og inducerede beskæftigelse i
Danmark på basis af 2006-investeringerne være 18.600 års-
værk, hvoraf den inducerede beskæftigelse vil udgøre 6.600
årsværk og den direkte/indirekte beskæftigelse 12.000 års-
værk. Med den fra MOG’s leverandørliste for 2006 kendte
omsætningsfordeling ville dette betyde en direkte/indirekte
beskæftigelse i Esbjerg-området på godt 8.700 årsværk. Al
empiri tilsiger, at dette tal er for højt, hvilket kan skyldes,
at det efterfølgende fald siden 2003 i kursen på US-dollars
har påvirket beregningsmodellens grundlag. Netop af den-
ne årsag har man af metodisk konservative hensyn i denne
undersøgelse har valgt at omregne beskæftigelsesfaktoren
til danske kroner ud fra de tal, som blev blotlagt i 2002-
analysen (Morten Hahn-Pedersen & Marit Jensen: op. cit.
Esbjerg 2002) og konfirmeret af britiske kontrolberegnin-
ger i 2003 (Cambridge Energy Research Associates: op.
cit., Cambridge May 2003 og Cambridge Energy Research
Associates: op. cit., Cambridge June 2003).
Summary
In response to a request from Offshore Center Danmark, the
Fisheries and Maritime Museum/Centre for Maritime and
Regional Studies carried out an investigation of the Danish
offshore sector’s development and current status in 2007.
This article outlines the main results of the investigation.
Since hydrocarbons were first discovered in the Danish
North Sea in 1966 - and the first production of oil com-
menced from the Dan field in 1972 - the offshore activities
in the Danish North Sea have steadily increased. The first
major developments came with the construction of the big
Gorm and Tyra fields in the early 1980s. Together with Dan,
these fields became the centre of DUC’s production system
in the North Sea, which now amounts to a total of 15 pro-
ducing oil and gas fields operated by Maersk Oil. There are
also a further four producing fields operated by Amerada
Hess and DONG E&P. Production peaked in 2004, but a
total production of over 17 million tons of oil and over nine
billion normal cubic metres of gas in 2006 indicates that
there is a long way to the last hydrocarbons from the Danish
North Sea.
The quantity of hydrocarbons produced by Denmark
results from both the construction of the production appa-
ratus and technological improvements in both exploration
and extraction. Some of this technology is made in Esbjerg,
which has been base harbour for the offshore operations in
the North Sea since the 1960s. Until the late 1970s these ac-
tivities did not have a great effect on business in Esbjerg, but
with the major expansions of the fields in the early 1980s,
Esbjerg experienced a regular oil boom and the arising of a
new industry which is still growing, and which has gradual-
ly developed a so-called competence cluster of companies,
over half of which now also operate internationally.
It has become increasingly difficult for new companies
to enter the market in step with the ever-increasing demands
which developments have made on the abilities of supplier
companies. Together with an ability to find “holes” in the
market, personal contacts and a focus on quality and safety
are central factors for companies currently wishing to es-
tablish in the Danish offshore sector. On the other hand, the
market is of significant value in terms of employment and
economics, so there is clearly something to be pursued.
Based on Maersk Oil’s list of suppliers, which covers
80% of the Danish offshore market, this investigation was
able to demonstrate on the basis of calculation models de-
veloped by Cambridge Energy Research Associates that the
effect of Denmark’s offshore activities on employment and
turnover is around 13,000 full-time jobs and over 10 bil-
lion Danish kroner. The investigation has also confirmed
Esbjerg’s status as Denmark’s offshore centre: around three
quarters of Denmark’s offshore-related employment and
turnover is in the Esbjerg area.