Summary
          
        
        
          In 2000/2001 the Fisheries and Maritime Museum/CMRS
        
        
          carried out a research project on the knock-on effect of off-
        
        
          shore activities in the North Sea on the city of Esbjerg and
        
        
          Ribe County. No statistical record of such matters is kept in
        
        
          Denmark, and the project therefore started with concrete
        
        
          lists of suppliers provided by operators in the Danish North
        
        
          Sea. The results of the project were officially reported in
        
        
          January 2002. The publication
        
        
          
            Sjæk’len 2001
          
        
        
          contains a
        
        
          review of the project’s historical aspects, while this article
        
        
          concentrates on the status of the offshore sector in south-
        
        
          west Jutland around the turn of the millennium.
        
        
          The three main operators in the Danish North Sea were
        
        
          then Amerada Hess, Mærsk Olie og Gas, and Statoil, which
        
        
          together held 90% of the market. Taking the lower limit of
        
        
          an annual turnover of DKK 50,000 per supplier, these three
        
        
          operators had a total of over 1,000 suppliers in Denmark
        
        
          and abroad. Geographically, 58% of the supplying compa-
        
        
          nies were in Denmark and 42% were abroad, primarily in
        
        
          the UK and Norway. Within Denmark, over 40% of compa-
        
        
          nies were concentrated about Copenhagen, while 31% of
        
        
          the offshore-related companies were in Ribe County. In
        
        
          terms of turnover the picture was different: a bare 60% of
        
        
          investments went to foreign suppliers, while 34% went to
        
        
          companies in Ribe County, and only about 6% went to sup-
        
        
          pliers in the rest of Denmark. Ribe County is thus clearly
        
        
          the centre of gravity of the Danish offshore sector.
        
        
          The project found a total of 215 companies in Ribe
        
        
          County supplying the three main operators in the Danish
        
        
          North Sea. Each of these companies was contacted with
        
        
          questions on the company’s history, development, speciali-
        
        
          sation and market as well as number of employees and total
        
        
          turnover in relation to the offshore sector, with the fol-
        
        
          lowing results:
        
        
          The 215 companies employed a total of over 8,000
        
        
          employees, almost 3,000 of whom occupied full-time posi-
        
        
          tions related to the offshore sector. To this must be added
        
        
          the numbers of employees of operators and subcontractors.
        
        
          While the former can be tallied directly, the full-time posi-
        
        
          tions among subcontractors had to be calculated via a for-
        
        
          mula based on concrete examples. The final result was over
        
        
          3,500 full-time positions. Direct offshore-related turnover
        
        
          in Ribe County was similarly computed at over DKK 4.6
        
        
          billion from operator through primary supplier to subcon-
        
        
          tractor. These computations are minimum figures as for
        
        
          various methodological reasons, they did not take account
        
        
          of the private consumption of people employed in the off-
        
        
          shore sector and similar knock-on effects on other sectors
        
        
          of this sector’s presence in the region. On the basis of ordi-
        
        
          nary multiplier models, turnover will therefore be even
        
        
          greater. But the calculated turnover is significant enough in
        
        
          itself. By comparison, the total annual tourismrelated turn-
        
        
          over in Ribe County was computed by the Danish Tourist
        
        
          Council at approximately DKK 2.3 billion.
        
        
          In brief, most of the offshore-related turnover and
        
        
          employment in Ribe County at the turn of the millennium
        
        
          was with companies which
        
        
          • were located in the City of Esbjerg
        
        
          • provided technical products and/or services to the
        
        
          offshore sector
        
        
          • had over 100 employees in the company’s
        
        
          offshore division
        
        
          • were branch offices of a group
        
        
          • commenced offshore deliveries in the period 1980-84
        
        
          • were established in the period 1980-84
        
        
          • also supplied offshore products and services to
        
        
          foreign countries
        
        
          • also supplied areas other than the offshore sector
        
        
          Over 1/3 of companies were branches of a bigger group,
        
        
          almost 90% of which had head offices outside the region.
        
        
          Apart from this, 43% of the companies now already supply
        
        
          offshore products and services to the international offshore
        
        
          market. The hydrocarbons in the Danish North Sea are – like
        
        
          those in all other places – a limited resource, and the ques-
        
        
          tion is how long the Danish offshore bonanza can continue.
        
        
          The Danish Energy Authority’s 20-year prognoses and
        
        
          resource prognoses are based on production ceasing in
        
        
          2005 and 2010 respectively, after which it is judged that cir-
        
        
          ca 2020, production will fall to a level corresponding to that
        
        
          98